15 early Week 4 NFL bets to make
Bets that respected handicappers like right now, plus betting splits
I could almost copy and paste my intro here from last Wednesday, because it was another tough NFL Week 3 for the betting public. The teams with the five of the six biggest spreads — Browns -6.5, Bucs -6, Raiders -5.5, 49ers -6 and Bengals -7.5 — all not only didn’t cover, but ended up losing outright. Those results not only crushed the majority of entries in most survivor pools around the country, they also knocked out all of those teasers and moneyline parlays attached to the favorites. Once again, they’re called teasers for a reason, folks.
Underdogs of 5.5+ points are now 10-6 straight up and an absurd 14-2 against the spread this season. Currently, there are six games with spreads of 5.5 or more in Week 4, so it will be interesting to see if this begins to regress to the mean.
Here’s hoping that Week 4 treats you, and your bankroll, better.
I’ve gathered a bunch early Week 4 best bets from respected handicappers that you may want to bet before the lines shift more as the week goes on. Remember that the goal in sports betting is to always get the best of the number. If you’re making your first NFL bets of the week on Sunday at 12 p.m. ET, it’s going to be an uphill climb to consistently win. The bets in this column last week went 13-5 overall.
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Week 4 NFL betting info from DraftKings
Early Week 4 NFL lopsided sides (by total bets) at DraftKings:
79% of 🎟️ on Cowboys -6
79% on Steelers -1.5
74% on Rams +3
67% on Vikings +2.5
67% on Eagles -2.5
66% on Saints +1.5
66% on Texans -7
66% on Bengals -4.5
65% on Bills +2.5
65% on Lions -3.5
Early Week 4 NFL lopsided sides (by total 💵) at DraftKings:
81% of 💰 on Steelers -1.5
80% on Cowboys -6
79% on Lions -3.5
78% on Cardinals -3.5
73% on Packers -2.5
71% on Eagles -2.5
70% on Bengals -4.5
BetRivers
Most wagered-on plays by largest % of Weekend NFL money:
1. Dolphins -1 vs. Titans: 21.7%
2. Jets ML vs. Broncos: 5.9%
3. Rams +2.5 at Bears: 4.4%
4. Steelers -1.5 at Colts: 4.3%
5. Seahawks +3.5 at Lions: 3.8%
Most popular plays by largest % of Weekend NFL tickets:
1. Jets ML vs. Broncos: 4.2%
2. 49ers ML vs. Patriots: 3.8%
3. Rams ML at Bears: 3.7%
4. Steelers ML at Colts: 3.6%
5. Chiefs ML at Chargers: 3.2%
Strongest public spread plays by largest % of game spread money:
1. Dolphins -1 vs. Titans: 97.4%
2. Steelers -1.5 at Colts: 90.9%
3. Ravens -2.5 vs. Bills: 79.2%
4. Packers -2.5 vs. Vikings: 75.9%
5. Jaguars +7 at Texans: 75.6%
Strongest public spread plays by largest % of game spread tickets:
1. Eagles -2.5 at Buccaneers: 73.4%
2. Bengals -4.5 at Panthers: 73.3%
3. 49ers -10 vs. Patriots: 73.2%
4. Jets -7.5 vs. Broncos: 72.1%
5. Saints +1.5 at Falcons: 71.2%
Early Week 4 NFL best bets
New York Giants +5.5 — Jason Logan, Covers
Rico Dowdle OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-115) — Sia Nejad, CBS SportsLine