Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack

Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack

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Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
50 NFL over/under bets to make right now

50 NFL over/under bets to make right now

I've compiled 50 wagers from respected handicappers to consider before the season kicks off

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Ben Fawkes
Sep 03, 2024
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Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
50 NFL over/under bets to make right now
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Somehow, Week 1 of the NFL season is upon us, which means there are still a precious few days to get those season-long futures wagers in.

I’ll have an in-depth look at Week 1 picks later in the week, along with a post on college football, but this article focuses on NFL over/under bets. I’ve read, listened and watched a variety of sports betting programs over the past few months in order to compile 50 over/under wagers from respected handicappers below. I’d pay attention to teams where a bunch of the handicappers are in alignment (see: New England Patriots UNDER).

Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

One other fun wager to report from an oddsmaker I spoke with this morning: One bettor at BetRivers Sportsbook wagered $161,290 on the Chicago Bears to go OVER 8.5 wins at -162 odds. That’s a lot of faith in rookie QB and No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams.

If you’ve been enjoying my content, be sure to consider becoming a paid subscriber! Football season will provide the most value for the Substack, with weekly picks and content for all major sports for only $9.99/month (~30 cents a day). There is also a free 7-day trial available if you want to test it out!


If you’re new to my Substack, here are a few of the types of articles you can expect:

  • 15 important lessons from experienced sports bettors

  • Ranking the Top 10 NFL QBs by point-spread value

  • Betting lessons from a long-time handicapper

  • 'Time to put my money where my mouth is': Why one bettor wagered $250 on Sam Darnold to win NFL MVP


Season win total best bets

AFC East

Bills UNDER 10.5 wins (-140) — Randy McKay, pro bettor

Dolphins OVER 9.5 (-135) — Jason Logan, Covers

Patriots UNDER 5 (-130) — Matt Youmans, VSiN

Patriots UNDER 4.5 (+135) — Jeff Petch, pro bettor

Patriots UNDER 4.5 (+125) — Jason Logan

Patriots UNDER 3.5 wins alt win total (+255) — Randy McKay


AFC North

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