Best Monday Night Football bets

Recapping Sunday's Week 8 NFL games and best bets for Giants-Steelers

Photo by Nicola Tolin on Unsplash

Week 8 was a wild one in the NFL, with several games coming down to the wire and a Jayden Daniels Hail Mary that will go down in Washington Football lore. Unfortunately, for one bettor at Caesars Sportsbook who had a $120,000 wager on the Bears -2.5, it was a play that he’ll never forget.

“That was not good for us,” John Murray, executive director at the Westgate SuperBook texted me on Sunday night regarding the Commanders-Bears result. “They don’t teach these guys to knock down Hail Mary’s any more?

The story was better at other sportsbooks, as Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata, told me, “Nice little swing there in our favor with the game-winning TD, it wasn’t a huge decision but went from a losing game for us to a winning one.”

Tonight, we unfortunately have to watch the New York Giants (+6) play football again, this time at the Pittsburgh Steelers. The public (83% of bets, 76% of money) is all over Pittsburgh at DraftKings and other books.

Below, I’ve compiled 10 best bets on the game from respected bettors and public betting information from DraftKings, BetMGM, ESPN BET and BetRivers sportsbooks. As always, I’ll update this file as we approach kickoff with more info.

Have a great Monday!

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If you’re new to my Substack, here are a few of the types of articles you can expect:

• 'Time to put my money where my mouth is': Why one bettor wagered $250 on Sam Darnold to win NFL MVP

• 15 important lessons from experienced sports bettors

• Ranking the Top 10 NFL QBs by point-spread value

• Betting lessons from a long-time handicapper

  

  Photo by Jonatan Pie on Unsplash

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Public betting info

DraftKings

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BetRivers

Giants (+210 ML) at Steelers (-6, -265 ML). O/U 36.5
Moneyline: 96% money & 95% tickets on Steelers
Spread: 72% money & 84% tickets on Steelers
Over/Under: 90% money % 77% tickets on Over

Player props by largest % of total game money:

1. Najee Harris anytime TD (-103) -- 1.6%
2. Russell Wilson u0.5 INTs thrown (-124) -- 1.2%
3. George Pickens anytime TD (+143) -- 1.0%

Player props by largest % of total game tickets:

1. Najee Harris anytime TD (-103) -- 3.8%
2. George Pickens anytime TD (+143) -- 2.1%
3. Malik Nabers anytime TD (+200) -- 1.5%

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BetMGM

Most bet (tickets) Steelers-Giants player props

1. George Pickens over 24.5 longest reception (-110)

2. Najee Harris over 62.5 rushing yards (-120)

3. George Pickens over 59.5 receiving yards (-115)

4. Wan’Dale Robinson over 35.5 receiving yards (-120)

5. Russell Wilson over 201.5 passing yards (-115)

Most bet (tickets) Steelers-Giants players to score anytime touchdown

1. George Pickens +200

2. Najee Harris +110

3. Malik Nabers +190

4. Pat Freiermuth +325

5. Darnell Washington +1300

Most bet (tickets) Steelers-Giants players to score 1st touchdown

1. Najee Harris +450

2. George Pickens +825

3. Malik Nabers +950

4. Pat Freiermuth +1200

5. Devin Singletary +1100

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ESPN BET

Giants at Steelers

84.7% of bets and 83.7% of handle are on Steelers (-6, opened -5.5)

72.5% of bets and 76.7% of handle are on Steelers ML (-275)

80.4% of bets and 74.4% of handle are on OVER (36.5, opened 37.5)

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Best bets for Monday Night Football