Best Monday Night Football bets
Recapping Sunday's Week 3 NFL games and best bets for both MNF games
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Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but it was not a good Sunday for the NFL betting public. The four biggest favorites — 49ers, Raiders, Browns, Bucs — all were favored by at least 5.5 points … and all lost outright. Incredibly, that means that underdogs of 5.5 or more points this season are 13-2 ATS with nine outright victories.
As John Murray, executive director at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook texted after Sunday Night Football, “Very solid day. A lot of upsets the last two weeks. Been good for the books.”
The one bright spot for the betting public was the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) hanging on to win (and cover) 22-17 against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football. Over 80% of the bets and money at multiple sportsbooks was on Kansas City to cover. One bettor had a little more invested, placing a $1 million wager at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas on the Chiefs ML -175. He ended up winning a cool $571,428.57 last night, although he must’ve been sweating for the entire fourth quarter.
Tonight, the Buffalo Bills (-5.5) host the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) host the Washington Commanders in a Monday Night Football doubleheader. The public is all over both favorites to cover.
Here’s some more information from Joe Brennan, the executive chairman at Prime Sports:
“We’re right now small fans of the favorites for tonight’s MNF at Prime, but so far not a lot of daylight money wise between the favs and the dogs.
“A little more interest from the sharps on the JAX v BUF game than on WAS v CIN. They defiantly bet the line down on the Bills (-4.5) from -6, but there was some opposition along the way.
“There’s a little less movement in the Commanders/ Bengals (-7) game from the sharps, by comparison, with a line relatively close to where it opened. The total in that game went down a couple points (now 46.5), again with some decent two-way on its way down, with more interest from the sharps there than on the side.”
Hopefully, you enjoyed the wealth of picks and information from Sunday’s post and made some money on a tough Week 3 NFL Sunday. As usual, I’ve compiled public betting info and bunch of expert picks below the pay wall for tonight’s game, along with a few props. I’ll add to the file as we approach kickoff.
Have a great Monday!
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Public betting info
DraftKings
BetMGM
Most bet (tickets) Bills-Jaguars player props
James Cook under 16.5 receiving yards (-115)
Josh Allen over 233.5 passing yards (-115)
Brian Thomas Jr. over 41.5 receiving yards (-115)
Josh Allen under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120)
Dalton Kincaid over 38.5 receiving yards (-115)
Most bet (tickets) Bills-Jaguars players to score anytime TD
James Cook +115
Josh Allen -120
Travis Etienne +100
Dalton Kincaid +230
Khalil Shakir +240
Most bet (tickets) Bengals-Commanders player props
Ja’Marr Chase over 80.5 receiving yards (-120)
Brian Robinson Jr. over 53.5 rushing yards (-120)
Joe Burrow over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-140)
Brian Robinson Jr. over 13.5 rushing attempts (-110)
Jayden Daniels under 50.5 rushing yards (-130)
Most bet (tickets) Bengals-Commanders players to score anytime TD
Ja’Marr Chase +110
Brian Robinson Jr. +160
Jayden Daniels +135
Tee Higgins +170
Bengals defense/special teams +1000
BetRivers
Jaguars at Bills (-5.5, 45.5)
Moneyline: 80% money, 86% tickets on Bills
Spread: 59% money, 69% tickets on Bills
O/U: 81% money, 66 tickets on Over
Most wagered-on player props by largest % of total game money:
1. James Cook anytime TD (-105) -- 2.5%
2. Travis Etienne anytime TD (+100) -- 1.7%
3. Josh Allen anytime TD (-148) -- 1.7%
4. James Cook u18.5 receiving yards (-123) -- 1.0%
5. Trevor Lawrence u33.5 pass attempts (-108) -- 0.9%
Most wagered-on player props by largest % of total game money:
1. James Cook anytime TD (-105) -- 4.0%
2. Travis Etienne anytime TD (+100) -- 3.2%
3. Josh Allen anytime TD (-148) -- 2.6%
4. James Cook o62.5 rush yards (-114) -- 1.5%
5. Khalil Shakir anytime TD (+180) -- 1.0%
Commanders at Bengals (-7.5, 47)
Moneyline: 94% money, 93% tickets on Bengals
Spread: 60% money, 71% tickets on Bengals
O/U: 72% money, 51% tickets on Over
Most wagered-on player props by largest % of total game money:
1. Joe Burrow o1.5 pass TDs (-132) -- 1.7%
2. Ja'Marr Chase anytime TD (-108) -- 1.3%
3. Brian Robinson o52.5 rush yards (-117) -- 1.2%
4. Jayden Daniels u18.5 pass completions (+100) -- 1.2%
5. Ja'Marr Chase o79.5 receiving yards (-120) -- 1.1%
Most wagered-on player props by largest % of total game money:
1. Ja'Marr Chase anytime TD (-108) -- 4.0%
2. Brian Robinson Jr. anytime TD (+112) -- 2.1%
3. Joe Burrow o1.5 pass TDs (-132) -- 1.6%
4. Zack Moss anytime TD (-157) -- 1.2%
5. Jayden Daniels anytime TD (+125) -- 1.1%
FanDuel
Most Popular Anytime Touchdown Scorers
James Cook (+110)
Travis Etienne (+105)
Josh Allen (-160)
Popular Player Props
Josh Allen 228.5 Passing Yards - 98% of bets and 97% of handle on the Over
Brenton Strange 27.5 Receiving Yards - 98% of bets and 99% of handle on the Over
James Cook 17.5 Receiving Yards - 97% of bets and 86% of handle on the Over
Fanatics
Best Monday Night Football bets
Jaguars-Bills
Jaguars +5 — Chris Farley, pro bettor
Jaguars +5.5 — Wes Reynolds, VSiN
Jaguars +6 — Raheem Palmer, The Ringer
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