Two MLB player prop bets to make on Monday
Public betting info, along with several bets via THE BAT X projection system
Welcome to July!
Not sure how that happened exactly, but here we are. NFL training camps begin later this month, and the Euros and Copa America soccer tournaments are in full swing. The days are long and there are plenty of events to bet on. Make sure you’re getting those vacations in as well, both from sports betting and from work. There will always be something to bet on, and if you’re betting on a country to win a soccer match with rules you don’t understand, it may be time to wait until football season returns. Just a thought.
My Substack will now feature a daily MLB piece from Derek Carty from THE BAT X. It will help bridge the gap until football season returns. Be sure to check out all of their content here.
Enjoy!
DraftKings public betting info
BetMGM public props for Monday
Top 5 most bet props (tickets)
Mackenzie Gore Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-175)
Hunter Brown Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs (-120)
Hunter Brown Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Bases (-130)
Charlie Blackmon Over 1.5 Bases (-105)
Top 5 most bet HR (tickets)
James Wood (+900)
Rhys Hoskins (+310)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+525)
Yordan Alvarez (+320)
Pete Alonso (+425)
Monday’s THE BAT X Projections
THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS OF THE DAY
1) +7.04% edge: Colorado Rockies +135 (48.2% projected W% vs. 41.2% implied W%)
2) +5.83% edge: Toronto Blue Jays +120 (49.3% projected W% vs. 43.4% implied W%)
3) +4.35% edge: New York Mets -110 (54.3% projected W% vs. 50.0% implied W%)
TWO BEST MLB PROP BETS OF THE DAY
>> Austin Gomber 16.5 Pitching Outs (-106/-122)
PREDICTION
THE BAT sees Gomber putting up 14.1 Pitching Outs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 31.7% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $29.67.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER
- It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the fifth-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
- Gomber has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing seven opposite-handed hitters today.
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