Monday's best MLB wagers to make

Public betting info, along with several bets via THE BAT X projection system

AI image generated with the prompt “Baseball betting.”

Welcome to another exciting week in the sports betting world. I’ll have a separate entry later on tonight’s Game 7 in the Stanley Cup Final, but first here is a look at betting today’s Major League Baseball games.

In case you missed my entry yesterday, my Substack will now feature a daily MLB piece from Derek Carty from THE BAT X, which will help bridge the gap until football season returns. I’ve known Derek since my ESPN days when he was an analyst on Baseball Tonight, and they’re doing great work on their site. Be sure to check out all of their content here.

THE BAT X PROJECTIONS

THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS OF THE DAY

1) +8.68% edge: Chicago Cubs +110 (54.4% projected W% vs. 45.7% implied W%)

2) +5.71% edge: Detroit Tigers +150 (44.3% projected W% vs. 38.6% implied W%)

3) +5.23% edge: Chicago White Sox +115 (50.0% projected W% vs. 44.7% implied W%)

---

PROPS OF THE DAY

>> Jesus Sanchez 0.5 Total Bases (-141/+110)

PREDICTION

THE BAT sees Sanchez putting up 1.10 Total Bases for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 70.7% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $29.48.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER

- The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

- A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 97°.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER

- Hitting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Jesus Sanchez faces a tough challenge today.

- Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.