Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack

Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack

Share this post

Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Best MLB bets for Tuesday's games

Best MLB bets for Tuesday's games

Public betting info, plus best bets via THE BAT X projection system

Ben Fawkes's avatar
Ben Fawkes
Aug 06, 2024
∙ Paid

Share this post

Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
Best MLB bets for Tuesday's games
2
Share

It’s hard to believe that the Chicago White Sox have actually lost 21 straight baseball games, tying the American League record set by the 1988 Baltimore Orioles. Also impressive is that the White Sox has been favorites in just one of those games during the streak.

If you bet $1 on the Minnesota Twins moneyline on July 10 (Chicago’s first loss during the streak), and rolled over all of your winnings on the ML of the White Sox’s opponent every game, you’d now be up $11,000.

And yes, to answer everyone on X, I know that no one bets that way — it’s just a fun stat to throw around. Lighten up, people.

Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily baseball articles from Derek Carty and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers. They have a terrific and respected projection model (THE BAT X), which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets, and they’ve been releasing a few plays a day for my subscribers.

The recommended MLB prop bets from THE BAT X are 35-25, +14.09 units so far in my Substack. So if you haven’t been betting them daily, you’ve been missing out!

Be sure to check out all of their content here.


THE BAT X's Favorite Moneyline Bets of the Day

1) +5.83% edge: Miami Marlins +115 (50.6% projected W% vs. 44.7% implied W%)

2) +5.51% edge: Los Angeles Dodgers -110 (55.5% projected W% vs. 50.0% implied W%)

3) +4.75% edge: Toronto Blue Jays +120 (48.5% projected W% vs. 43.8% implied W%)


Props of the Day

Shota Imanaga OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)

Prediction

THE BAT sees putting up 5.9 Strikeouts for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.6% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $20.19.

Factors that favor the Over

- It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.

- Wrigley Field profiles as the No. 10 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

- In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the second-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Ben Fawkes
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share