Best MLB bets for Monday's games
Public betting info, plus best bets via THE BAT X projection system
Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily baseball articles from Derek Carty and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers. They have a terrific and respected projection model (THE BAT X), which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets, and they’ve been releasing a few plays a day for my subscribers.
The recommended MLB prop bets from THE BAT X are 33-25, +11.93 units so far in my Substack, since we started in late June. So if you haven’t been betting them daily, you’ve been missing out!
Be sure to check out all of their content here.
THE BAT X's Favorite Moneyline Bets of the Day
1) +5.94% edge: St. Louis Cardinals -110 (55.9% projected W% vs. 50.0% implied W%)
2) +4.89% edge: San Francisco Giants -180 (67.0% projected W% vs. 62.1% implied W%)
3) +4.23% edge: Texas Rangers +100 (52.1% projected W% vs. 47.8% implied W%)
Props of the Day
Kyle Hendricks OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+100)
Prediction
THE BAT sees Hendricks putting up 4.8 Strikeouts for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 70.1% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $28.22.
Factors that favor the Over
- The Minnesota Twins (25% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the second-most strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate today.
- Wrigley Field ranks as the No. 9 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
- According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the sixth-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.