Best Major League Baseball bets for Friday
Public betting info, plus best bets via THE BAT X projection system
We’re back for the second half of the baseball season, and NFL and college football feel like they’re just around the corner. Huzzah.
While I try to keep this a politics-free space, there is a betting market in Canada (and overseas) on the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election and it significantly shifted yesterday. Several sportsbooks took down the Presidential market odds in Ontario on Monday after the events at Donald Trump’s rally last weekend, but Bet365 was one several books that kept them up. And yesterday, Kamala Harris jumped to +300 (second-best odds) while Joe Biden fell to 14-1. Trump’s odds stayed about the same, as he’s now a -200 favorite on Friday morning. We’ll monitor what happens this weekend.
My Substack now features a daily piece from Derek Carty from THE BAT X. They have a terrific and respected projection model, which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets. They’ll also recommend a few wagers every day exclusively for my subscribers. Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily articles and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers.
Be sure to check out all of their content here.
Enjoy!
THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS OF THE DAY
1) +6.66% edge: Miami Marlins +115 (51.4% projected W% vs. 44.7% implied W%)
2) +6.19% edge: Toronto Blue Jays -120 (58.4% projected W% vs. 52.2% implied W%)
3) +3.89% edge: Colorado Rockies +125 (46.4% projected W% vs. 42.6% implied W%)
PROPS OF THE DAY
David Peralta 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+150)
PREDICTION
THE BAT sees Peralta putting up 0.69 Total Bases for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 50.4% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $24.05.