Best Major League Baseball bets for Saturday
Best bets from THE BAT X projection system, plus public betting info
Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily baseball articles from Derek Carty and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers. They have a terrific and respected projection model (THE BAT X), which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets, and they’ve been releasing a few plays a day for my subscribers.
The recommended prop bets from THE BAT X are 25-21, +5.66 units so far in my Substack, since we started in late June.
Be sure to check out all of their content here.
I’ll have a look at the action at UFC 304 coming up later today as well, after talking to a bookmaker in Vegas about where a few sharp wagers have come in.
Have a great Saturday!
THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS OF THE DAY
1) +6.18% edge: San Francisco Giants ML -210 (71.7% projected W% vs. 65.5% implied W%)
2) +5.43% edge: Miami Marlins ML +145 (45.0% projected W% vs. 39.6% implied W%)
3) +3.95% edge: St. Louis Cardinals ML -135 (59.2% projected W% vs. 55.3% implied W%)
PROPS OF THE DAY
Shota Imanaga OVER 2.5 Earned Runs (+110/-141)
PREDICTION
THE BAT sees putting up 3.15 Earned Runs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 57.2% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $20.14.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER
- It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) in charge of the strike zone today.
- THE BAT projects Kauffman Stadium as the best ballpark in MLB for walks.
- In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.