Best Major League Baseball bets for Wednesday
Public betting info, plus best bets from THE BAT X projection system
Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily articles from Derek Carty and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers. They have a terrific and respected projection model (THE BAT X), which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets, and they’ve been releasing a few plays a day for my subscribers.
The bets from THE BAT X are 23-17, +6.82 units so far in my Substack, since we started in late June. They’ve gone 8-1 in the last four posts that I’ve done.
Be sure to check out all of their content here.
DraftKings MLB public betting info
BetMGM MLB public betting info
Most bet games – Moneyline (tickets)
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (Game 1)
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Most bet teams – Moneyline (tickets)
Philadelphia Phillies (-145)
Atlanta Braves (-135)
Cincinnati Reds (+115)
Detroit Tigers (+125)
Boston Red Sox (-155)
Most bet teams – Moneyline (handle)
Atlanta Braves (-135)
Cincinnati Reds (+115)
Philadelphia Phillies (-145)
Pittsburgh Pirates (-110)
Baltimore Orioles (-145)
Top 5 most bet props (tickets)
Mitchell Parker Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs (+135)
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total hits, runs and RBIs (-140)
Yariel Rodriguez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-160)
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Bases (-130)
Matt Waldron Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-145)
Top 5 most bet HR (tickets)
Gunnar Henderson (+525)
Aaron Judge (+230)
Heliot Ramos (+850)
Shohei Ohtani (+375)
Anthony Santander (+575)
THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS OF THE DAY
1) +5.91% edge: Colorado Rockies +130 (47.9% projected W% vs. 42.0% implied W%)
2) +5.87% edge: Cleveland Guardians -145 (62.4% projected W% vs. 56.6% implied W%)
3) +3.48% edge: Los Angeles Dodgers -180 (65.6% projected W% vs. 62.1% implied W%)
PROPS OF THE DAY
Griffin Canning OVER 15.5 Pitching Outs (+114/-148)
PREDICTION
THE BAT sees Canning putting up 16.2 Pitching Outs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 58.2% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $24.57.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER
- The Seattle Mariners projected batting order ranks as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
- It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Laz Diaz) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
- THE BAT projects T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for batting average.
- The weather forecast expects the third-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.