Best Major League Baseball bets for Wednesday
Best bets from THE BAT X projection system, plus public betting info
I’ve been collecting a bunch of bets from handicappers on the college football season, that I should be ready to share either tomorrow or Friday in an article. Looking forward to having that for subscribers, as it will be a ton of wagers from smart guys all in one place.
Hopefully, you’ve been enjoying the daily baseball articles from Derek Carty and have been getting value from them before you place your wagers. They have a terrific and respected projection model (THE BAT X), which provides a ton of great info for bettors to consider before making daily MLB bets, and they’ve been releasing a few plays a day for my subscribers.
The recommended prop bets from THE BAT X are 30-22, +11.08 units so far in my Substack, since we started in late June.
Be sure to check out all of their content here.
Have a great — and hopefully profitable — day!
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BetMGM public betting info
Most bet games – Moneyline (tickets)
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins at New York Mets
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox
Most bet teams – Moneyline (tickets)
Philadelphia Phillies (-115)
New York Yankees (-105)
New York Mets (+100)
Kansas City Royals (-200)
Baltimore Orioles (-225)
Most bet teams – Moneyline (handle)
Philadelphia Phillies (-115)
New York Yankees (-105)
Kansas City Royals (-200)
Atlanta Braves (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays (-250)
Top 5 most bet props (tickets)
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Bases (+100)
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Bases (-115)
Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-125)
Davis Daniel Over 4.5 Pitcher Hits Allowed (+105)
Logan Webb Under 1.5 Pitcher Walks (-160)
Top 5 most bet HR (tickets)
Gunnar Henderson (+375)
Shohei Ohtani (+310)
Anthony Santander (+350)
Jazz Chisholm Jr (+575)
Bryce Harper (+240)
THE BAT X'S FAVORITE MONEYLINE BETS FOR WEDNESDAY
1) +3.75% edge: Chicago Cubs +125 (46.3% projected W% vs. 42.6% implied W%)
2) +3.07% edge: Houston Astros -210 (68.6% projected W% vs. 65.5% implied W%)
3) +3.02% edge: Los Angeles Angels -140 (59.2% projected W% vs. 56.2% implied W%)
PROPS OF THE DAY
Cristopher Sanchez 17.5 Pitching Outs (-132/+100)
PREDICTION
THE BAT sees Sanchez putting up 15.7 Pitching Outs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 39.5% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $21.02.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER
- It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
- Cristopher Sanchez's 93.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 2.2-mph rise from last season's 91.6-mph mark.
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